Quick take
Descartes looks like a high‑quality compounder: regulatory content plus embedded, networked workflows support sticky revenue, ~75–76% gross margin, ~28% operating margin, and robust free cash flow on a net‑cash balance sheet (Annual income statements; Key financial ratios (trailing 12 months)). The reinvestment runway is credible—GTI, broker‑risk bundling, and SMB e‑commerce cross‑sell—backed by a 5‑year ROIIC of ~17.4% and disciplined tuck‑ins (Strategic initiatives; Key compounder indicators). Risks center on serial M&A, supplier dependencies, and competitive bundling, but cash generation and diversification provide resilience. On valuation, a scenario DCF frames a wide range: base case about $77 per share, bear ~$46, bull ~$127, with today’s price implying roughly a decade of double‑digit FCF growth (Valuation; Company profile). That mix—durable economics and clear reinvestment against a full valuation—suggests the business quality is strong, while prospective returns will hinge on sustained organic growth, successful cross‑sell, and continued high‑return deployment of cash.
Get the full analysis and price forecast for The Descartes Systems Group Inc.
Our investment memos include analysis of the company’s business model, industry, competitive moat and a detailed price forecast.
Create a free account